Energy
Risk is unavoidable in the energy industry due to high
capital investments, geographically dispersed facilities,
hit-or-miss explorations, and global demand fluctuations.
To be successful, risk must be understood, managed,
mitigated against, and even leveraged to create
opportunities.
The financial and operational impacts of important
decisions must be fully quantified at all levels of the
enterprise. You need to evaluate all possible
scenarios, not just the Best- and Worst-case, and
consider the likelihood that each outcome will actually
occur. You need to identify your most important risks and
opportunities so you know exactly where to focus your
attention. Only with this type of comprehensive risk
analysis can you confidently choose your best course of
action.
Solutions
The Vanguard System™ is a comprehensive business
solution for improving the quality, reliability, and
speed of management decisions. It does this by helping
you Collaborate with colleagues
on important plans, Analyze alternatives
using state-of-the-art modeling and simulation
techniques, Automate routine
decisions using expert system technology, and Improve
overall management effectiveness by adding
structure to a normally chaotic process.
Business improvement is all about working smarter.
Vanguard brings together the people, analytics, and
systems required to help your business operate
intelligently.
Here are just a few of the ways Vanguard supports the
energy industry:
- Capital planning: Know which
capital intensive projects to invest in using
risk-based financial and operational analysis.
- Risk mitigation: Fully
understand risks before engaging in projects.
Implement risk mitigation strategies and
contingency plans early on.
- Sales and operations planning (S&OP):
Enable real-time collaboration between
Marketing & Sales and Operations to ensure
production capacity can profitably support
customer demand (and vice versa).
- Supply chain planning: Optimize
your supply chain network, inventory levels,
distribution plans, and more.
- Demand forecasting: Predict
demand for products and raw materials, even when
historical data is scarce.
- Mix / Portfolio analysis:
Optimize product portfolios, pricing, and
promotions.
- Operational efficiency: Conduct
process improvement/Six Sigma projects to reduce
costs, cycle times, and waste.
- Knowledge automation: Expertly
guide operators, technicians, and support agents
through complex decision-making processes using
intuitive question-and-answer sessions.
Content Management System (CMS)
Vanguard Content Management System (CMS) is a Web-based expert system development tool for non-programmers. CMS Web-based applications guide customers or employees through complex decision-making processes using interactive, automated question and answer sessions. They are core software applications that can improve the operational efficiency of your key business processes.
CMS applications can assist energy industry companies in exploration, operations and finance by enforcing consistency in business decisions across the company. Exploration and operations expertise can be automated and accessed at any time to assist researchers and managers working in different areas of the world. CMS applications can simulate routine financial processes to increase the efficiency and consistency of financial decisions. Energy companies that share expertise, reduce inconsistency and improve efficiency are more dynamic and can react faster to changes in facility operations and global markets.
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Case Study

SemGroup uses Vanguard to optimize its
purchase of crude oil.
Case Study

Challenge
SemGroup, an international energy company,
buys crude oil on the open market, blends it with
various other crudes that have desirable density,
sulfur and other characteristics and then resells
the newly blended crude at a profit. The
challenge was how to do this more profitably.
Solution
A critical factor in this process is finding
the optimal mix of crudes available on the market
that will yield the blend with the highest profit
potential. A Vanguard-based optimization model
completely automates this process.
SemGroup uses Vanguard to improve
profitability by maximizing product revenue
opportunities while minimizing raw material
acquisition costs.
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