Forecasting Software

Not only is Vanguard's business forecasting software the most accurate available, it also makes the process of creating forecasts easy.

Whether you have data warehouses full of historical data or only your best management estimates, Vanguard helps you produce the highest quality forecasts possible using Wizard-style guides, easy-to-assemble models, and interactive Web reports.

Powerful Forecasting Methods

Unlike most forecasting software, Vanguard combines all threeproven forecasting methods into a unified solution.

• Time-series forecasting: Supports 21 different techniques to extrapolate trends and patterns from your historical data.
• Simulation-based forecasting: Evaluates thousands of scenarios based on your assumptions when historical data is scarce.
• Statistical forecasting: Automatically finds the relationships between multiple inputs and your business outcomes.

Vanguard walks you through each step in the forecasting process using Wizard-style guides. However, for more programmatic control, you also can manually access Vanguard's forecast engine.

Collaborative Business Forecasting

When forecasting knowledge is spread throughout your organization, Vanguard directly involves key individuals in a collaborative forecasting process. Each individual builds a component model that represents his or her piece of the forecast. Vanguard then assembles all of the components to create the complete forecast. The intricate complexities of aggregating the component models when they are built by people in different countries using different currencies, different time scales, different update schedules, etc., are all handled automatically by Vanguard.

Beyond the Forecast

Vanguard lets you go beyond forecasting by telling you exactly what drives your forecast and what you can do about it.

• What-if analysis: Checks your forecasts under critical scenarios.
• Sensitivity analysis: Reviews your forecasts and determines which factors have the greatest impacts.
• Forecast optimization: Determines the best possible decisions in order to improve future outcomes.

In addition, forecasts are always inputs to some other decision-making process within an organization; so, Vanguard lets you dynamically link your forecasts to these processes. For example, Manufacturing can directly link to product demand forecasts from Marketing and Sales and use them in real-time to optimally schedule production as part of a Sales and Operations Planning (S&OP) activity.

Forecasting Software Comparisons

Vanguard offers the following products for business foresting:

• Forecast Server - For the business user
• Business Analytics Suite - Desktop solution for the individual modeling expert
• Vanguard System - Enterprise solution For the expert modeling group

Forecast Server - For the Business User

Vanguard Forecast Server helps you prepare high-quality forecasts based on trends, patterns, and seasonality in your historical data, upcoming events and promotions, and your insights into the future of your business.

For more details about applications of our forecasting software, see:

• Sales Forecasting
• Demand Planning
• Inventory Optimization
• S&OP
• Financial Forecasting
• Modeling & Simulation

Business Analytics Suite - For the Individual Modeling Expert

The Business Analytics Suite includes all of the capabilities of the Operational and Strategic Forecasting Suites, plus the ability to perform decision tree analysis and business optimizations. This product is designed for professional modelers who need the highest level of functionality.

Once you have generated a good prediction model, the next step in business planning is to use the model to test alternative plans in the search for the optimal plan. The Business Analytics Suite includes a very powerful optimizer that can automatically find the optimal business strategy for you.

Vanguard's Stochastic Optimizer can solve any optimization problem. There are no requirements regarding linearity, discontinuities, or other model characteristics that limit virtually all other optimization tools. The Stochastic Optimizer even supports Grid-based computing, making it possible to solve massive problems using spare CPU time on your colleagues' desktop computers.

For more details, refer to the Business Analytics Suite product page.

Vanguard System - For the Expert Modeling Group

Each of the products above is deployed as a single-user desktop application. The Vanguard System supports all of the capabilities of all of the products above, but is deployed as a Web-based, client server application that supports many users. The server-based delivery makes it possible to collaborate on large modeling projects and it lets you link your models to internal applications.

For more details, refer to the Vanguard System product page.

  Vanguard builds reports on-demand to help you visualize your forecasts, understand portfolio effects, and see the impacts of what-if scenarios.